On the chart, the picture is generally neutral aparts from moving averages. Volume is low so far this week and the slow stochastic is almost exactly neutral at just above 50. The 50 SMA is the main technical reference at the moment, with movement above there unlikely unless traders receive positive new information of some…
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With price now within the value area between the 100 and 200 SMAs and strongly oversold based on the slow stochastic, a pause seems likely in the runup to tomorrow’s meeting of the BoC. The target for sellers in the medium term seems to be last month’s lows around C$1.25, while to the upside the…
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The 261.8% Fibonacci extension around $129 remains in focus as the key resistance. A breakthrough above this remains highly unlikely unless there’s a significant change in fundamentals. $100 is the main psychological area below which might also drive a bounce if it were to be tested this week. With no signal of saturation and ATR…
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A return to strength looks unlikely as of now based on TA. Although yesterday’s test of the 23.6% weekly Fibonacci retracement area has been rejected for now, selling volume has been high since last week and the downward reaction on 9 March from the area of the all-time high has been very strong. With ATR…
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‘The likely scenario as of now seems to be a sideways trend over the next few weeks,’ said Michael Stark, an analyst at Exness: ‘There’s obviously very strong buying demand in the area around $65, while there’s no clear fundamental driver for the price to retest recent highs. Traders are now looking for significant confirmed…
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Even before large losses at the end of last week, it already seemed fairly unlikely that the cartel would significantly boost production. With most members seemingly content with prices of Brent around $75-85 and various countries including Japan having released their strategic reserves of crude, there had been no clear calls among OPEC for increasing…
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The pound seems to be standing at a crossroads with key technical references above and below, the 161.8% weekly Fibonacci retracement area and the 200 SMA respectively. Based on TA alone, consolidation and sideways movement would usually be favourable in this situation. However, the important economic releases from the USA and the UK on Wednesday…
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Price seems to have broken through the 61.8% area of the weekly Fibonacci fan with two daily closes in succession above this area. Moving averages still give a sell signal, but the value area between the 100 and 200 SMAs has shrunk considerably. Movement above this area might signal more gains to come for the…
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The golden cross of the 50 SMA over the 100 a fortnight ago came ahead of more gains, although price has now moved clearly into overbought based on the slow stochastic (15, 5, 5). The weekly Fibonacci fan has probably lost relevance now that the medium-term trend is clearly upward, but 61.8% might still limit…
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From a technical perspective, oil’s uptrend since last summer is clearly still active for now. Brent has failed to break below the 50 SMA from Bands, and there is currently no indication of overbought from either Bollinger Bands (50, 0, 2) or the slow stochastic (15, 5, 5). The key area on this chart for…
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