J.P. Morgan Released Its 2024 Long-Term Market Assumptions LeapRate

December 06, 2023 BY Simon Mugo

J.P. Morgan Released Its 2024 Long-Term Market Assumptions

Considering the evolving macroeconomic environment, the outlook projects a 7.0% annual return for a standard 60/40 stock-bond portfolio. Introducing a 25% allocation in alternative assets could enhance this forecast by 60 basis points and improve the Sharpe ratio by around 12%. Factors like automation and AI's impact on productivity, energy transition, and new technologies are…

August 03, 2023 BY Alan Sayer

Market Insight: Week ending 4 August

Higher Timeframe Trend Indecisive We can see that from the weekly timeframe—a chart often employed to identify the primary trend (assuming you’re a fan of Dow Theory)—price action has gradually decreased since February 2021. However, the recent pullback (the local uptrend since pencilling in a bottom around $18.00 in August 2022) tells me that the…

August 24, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

What has happened to the Euro in June and where is it going?

If the yield differential declines to 60-basis points you will be paying away less and therefore there is less incentive to hold the US dollar. During June the yield differential between the US 10-year yield and the German 10-year yield declined to 101 basis points from 117 basis points making it less attractive to hold…

July 06, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

Daily Market News: Stock futures point to higher Monday open despite record Covid cases

FTSE 100 gives up gains to post a flat week On Friday, the FTSE 100 fell 1.3%, giving up all of the gains it had edged out over the course of the week; most of which came on Monday and Thursday. With US markets closed, trading volume on Friday for FTSE 100 shares was down…

June 16, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

Daily Market News: Stocks stage comeback after Fed extends bond buying

What to watch Oracle: Software firm Oracle provides database and cloud services to businesses, and has been shifting its business towards a subscription model for years. Its share price is flat year-to-date, following a 24.7% rally over the past three months. The firm notched a significant recent win in April, when it won a cloud…

June 01, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

Weekly data preview: central banks and the NFP

From a technical point of view, Brent seems to have overextended this morning. Both the slow stochastic and Bollinger Bands print overbought signals. On the other hand, Bands have contracted quite sharply since the middle of last week, so it’s possible that price is building for a breakout upward. Moving averages continue to print a…

May 25, 2020 BY Steffy Bogdanova

Weekly data preview: GDP around the world

Key data points Bold indicates the most important release for this symbol. Thursday 28 May, 12.30 GMT: Canadian current account (Q1) - consensus negative C$10 billion, previous negative C$8.76 billion Friday 29 May, 6.00 GMT: British annual national housing prices (May) - consensus 2.8%, previous 3.7% Friday 29 May, 12.30 GMT: Canadian annualised GDP growth…

May 25, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

Daily market commentary: The dollar is benefiting during early Monday trading

EUROPEAN SHARES European stocks opened slightly higher on Monday following a mixed trading session in Asia, particularly in Hong Kong where shares extended Friday’s losses amid mounting tensions with China. The return of violence in the region is seen as a new bearish factor for share markets as traders fear it could lead to deeper…

May 18, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

Weekly data preview: more stimulus in view from the Fed

Key data points Bold indicates the most important release for this symbol. Tuesday 19 May, 20.30 GMT: API crude oil stock change: previous 7.6 million Wednesday 20 May, 14.30 GMT: EIA crude oil stock change: previous negative 750,000 Friday 22 May, 17.00 GMT: Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count: previous 258 Euro-pound, daily The upside seems…

May 18, 2020 BY Valentina Kirilova

Daily Market News: Powell gives depression era unemployment rate warning

UK stocks sink on GDP figures, US headlines Despite a Friday rally, London-listed stocks sank last week. In addition to the headlines and economic data out of the US, investors also got a view into the impact of the pandemic-induced lockdown on UK GDP, alongside March industrial and manufacturing production numbers. The UK economy shrank…

Tag: market analysis