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EUR/USD: Weak recovery bounce
• EUR/USD was able to bounce of 2014 lows at 1.3153 yet buying pressure is thin. The technical
structure is negative as long as prices remain below the hourly resistance at 1.3297 (22/08/2014 high). A first hourly resistance lies at 1.3220 (25/08/2014 low). A key support stands at 1.3105.
• In the longer term, EUR/USD is in a succession of lower highs and lower lows since May 2014. A long-term decline towards the strong support area between 1.2755 (09/07/2013 low) and 1.2662
(13/11/2012 low) is favoured. However, in the shorter term, monitor the key support at 1.3105 (06/09/2013 low) given the general oversold conditions. A key resistance lies at 1.3444 (28/07/2014 high).
USD/JPY: Bulls cant hold highs
• USD/JPY has failed to hold above the key resistance at 104.13, suggesting a weakening
short-term buying interest. A break of the hourly support at 103.50 (22/08/2014 low) would confirm a deterioration of the short-term technical structure. Another support lies at 102.91 (intraday low). A resistance now stands at 104.49 (25/08/2014 high).
• A long-term bullish bias is favoured as long as the key support 100.76 (04/02/2014 low) holds. The break to the upside out of the consolidation phase between 100.76 (04/02/2014 low) and 103.02 favours a resumption of the underlying bullish trend. Strong resistances can be found at 105.44 (02/01/2014 high) and 110.66 (15/08/2008 high).
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