Mati Greenspan, Senior Market Analyst at FX broker eToro, has provided his daily commentary on traditional and crypto markets for October 17, 2019. The text below is an excerpt and does not contain the full analysis.
Hi Everyone,
Wie schrijft, die blijft…
An old Dutch saying that I picked up yesterday. It means literally “who writes, stays.”
The origin seems to be from sports. Meaning, the player that is keeping score will always manage to stay in the game. But if we think back to many of the great artworks of history from books, to plays, and even music. Had they not been writen many would surely be lost by now.
It is my extreme pleasure and privilege to write to you every day. While I’m sure these musings won’t ever be referred to ever as art, I do hope that they’ll help all of us stay in the game.
Many thanks to the folks at Hard Fork for putting on an outstanding conference, I definitely learned a lot from the high-quality panels and speakers. Thanks to all the eToro clients who came out to see me from Amsterdam, London, and Germany. And special thanks to eToro for sponsoring this and many other events in the crypto space that serve as a petri dish for ideas and growth of the industry.
Today’s Highlights
- Low volume shows speculators steering clear of taking any big crypto bets: Bitcoin does seem to be forming some solid support on the chart just above $7,500 per coin. Meanwhile, the delay of Telegram’s Gram distribution and the confidence blow to Libra have put a bit of a downer on the market. Investors should get more clarity on both of those pretty soon though.
- Using social media to gather market sentiment: eToro has launched TheTIE-LongOnly CopyPortfolio, a sentiment-based, Ai-driven investment tool from The TIE, a cryptocurrency data analytics platform trusted by some of the largest traditional quantitative hedge funds.
- Turkish Lira Manages to Hold Steady: While the USDTRY has a history of extreme volatility, throughout the last few weeks it hasn’t really budged much at all amidst Congress launching sanctions on Turkey
Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of October 17th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.
Traditional Markets
It seems President Trump is also an author, not just on Twitter. A letter he wrote the President of Turkey was recently released. For entertainment value, instead of just posting the text here, please watch the oration from MSNBC at this link.
Ok, maybe they overdid it a bit. The language and syntax are certainly no surprise from this President and are more or less in line with what we see on twitter. The thing is, this letter is dated a week ago, before the incursion. Since then, it seems that Trump has changed his mind a bit, and no longer sees the Kurdish plight as an American problem.
Due to inaction from the President, it seems that Congress is now preparing its own measures.
Through all this, I’m quite surprised as to why the Turkish Lira is managing to hold so steady. The USDTRY has a history of extreme volatility though throughout the last few weeks it hasn’t really budged much at all.
The Tie Fighter
For those of you who haven’t heard, we’re very excited to announce a new partnership with the crypto social analytics team at The Tie.
Even some of the bigger firms have started to scrape social media to gather market sentiment. This Reuters article from June, explains the phenomenon quite well. Now, thanks to social trading our clients can do it too.
The first product is a CopyPortfolio called TheTIE-LongOnly. Meaning, that it only enters buy positions and does not sell short. The backtesting data looks quite promising but I’m looking forward to seeing the real results, and hopefully some more products in the future.
The Tie’s CEO Joshua Frank is quite sharp and the way he’s managed to cut through the noise of Twitter is pretty remarkable. I’ve personally been using the visual graphs at TheTie.io for a few months already and find them incredibly helpful.
More TON
The period of low volume consolidation in the crypto market persists. Though volumes are not quite as low as they were on Tuesday, it’s pretty clear that speculators are steering clear of taking any big bets for the time being.
Bitcoin does seem to be forming some solid support on the chart just above $7,500 per coin. It would be nice to see a bit of a bounce from here, but if it does break below there are still several levels of support just below.
Meanwhile, the delay of Telegram’s Gram distribution and the confidence blow to Libra have put a bit of a downer on the market. We should get more clarity on both of those pretty soon though.
Telegram’s hearing with the SEC is currently scheduled for October 24th. We hope for a clean resolution but it does seem like the devs are preparing for the worst and now considering a long delay of the launch, possibly until April 30th, pending investor feedback.
One day before that, on October 23rd, this coming Wednesday, Mark Zuckerberg himself will be taking the stand before Congress to pitch the Libra project once again. This should be interesting.
Wishing you a pleasant day ahead.
Mati Greenspan can be found on LinkedIn, Twitter, or etoro.Â
This is a marketing communication and should not be taken as investment advice, personal recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments. This material has been prepared without having regard to any particular investment objectives or financial situation, and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal and regulatory requirements to promote independent research. Any references to past performance of a financial instrument, index or a packaged investment product are not, and should not be taken as, a reliable indicator of future results. eToro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication, which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.