ActivTrades’ Market Analysts prepared their daily commentary on traditional markets for February 24, 2020. This is not a trading advice. See details below:
The Japanese yen and the Swiss franc are finding support during early Monday trading, as investors, spooked by the sudden escalation in the number of new coronavirus cases outside of China, seek refuge in safe-haven assets. Virus related developments, specially the major outbreaks in South Korea, Iran and Italy, seem to point at much higher chances of a global pandemic than previously assumed, with the potential to seriously hinder global economic growth.
The switch to a more pronounced risk-off stance in the markets, observed at the end of next week, is gaining traction, representing up-side risk for the yen and the franc, the two main global refuge asset currencies.
Ricardo Evangelista – Senior Analyst, ActivTrades
Last week’s risk-off trading tone has clearly been confirmed on the opening bell on Monday after European markets all drifted significantly lower as traders weigh worrying developments on the Coronavirus front. The growing number of new cases in Wuhan and, more importantly, outside China has seen investors adopt a more cautious trading stance this week.
The situation in South Korea, where the virus alert is set at the highest level, sparked fresh concerns about the rate of spread of the virus as well as the damage being done to Asian economies. The government has moved to reassure investors and limit the impact of the virus on the economy by announcing two extra budget plans. The measures will seek to sustain the domestic economy by boosting imports/exports, and increase finance for measures to contain the virus outbreak.
However, this is likely to remain insufficient in the short-term for most investors who are already proceeding with portfolio adjustments that seek to hedge the risk – especially after China announced a potential rebound in cases.
All markets are trading lower in Europe, driven down by miners and carmakers, but the worst performance is seen on the Italian FTSE-MIB index from Milan where the market opened with a 870-point bearish gap today. Prices are now trading close to 23,670 pts, one of the last support zone before 23,300 and 23,100 pts.
Pierre Veyret– Technical analyst, ActivTrades