Adam Vettese, UK Market Analyst at eToro, has provided his daily commentary on traditional and crypto markets for November 30, 2020.
Salesforce’s talks of a deal with workplace communications firm Slack dominated headlines late last week, but an even bigger deal was reported over the weekend. Per The WSJ, financial information firm S&P Global is in advanced talks to buy fellow data giant IHS Markit for $44bn. If that price stands, the deal would be the largest in the US this year.
In other headlines, short-term rentals platform Airbnb and food delivery firm DoorDash are set to reveal higher-than-expected valuation ranges for their initial public offerings in roadshows this week. Bloomberg reported that Airbnb will target a valuation range of $30bn to $33bn, while DoorDash shoots for $25bn to $28bn. A host of companies are currently pushing to complete IPOs before the end of the year, including loan company Affirm, discount retailer Wish and gaming company Roblox.
Dow falls short of 30,000-mark at Friday close
US markets were closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and trading volume on Friday was muted, with much of corporate America still shut for the day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell just short of closing the week past the 30,000 point milestone it had hit earlier in the week but added 1.5% over the course of the week. Similarly, the S&P 500 added 1.6%, while the Nasdaq Composite surged by 2.5% to take its year-to-date gain past the 35% mark.
In a Friday note, analysts at investment firm John Hancock noted that it was the fourth straight week of gains for crude oil prices, which hit their highest level in more than eight months, while initial weekly jobless claim figures reached their highest level in five weeks. With Q3 earnings season drawing to a close, John Hancock also noted that the 6% decline in S&P 500 earnings for the quarter was largely driven by just three industries: oil and gas, airlines, and the hotel, restaurant and leisure sector. Taking those three industries out of the 63 in the S&P 500, and the remaining companies would have delivered earnings growth rather than a decline.
S&P 500: +0.2% Friday, -12.6% YTD (+1.6% last week)
Dow Jones Industrial Average: +0.1% Friday, +4.8% YTD (+1.5% last week)
Nasdaq Composite: +0.9% Friday, +36% YTD (+2.5% last week)
UK oil giants ride surging crude price
London-listed stocks were close to flat last week, having made double-digit gains over the past month. There were some significant winners and losers last week, however. Oil giants BP and Royal Dutch Shell both rode the surging oil price to significant weekly share price gains. BP added 7.6%, taking its one-month gain to 33.7%, while Royal Dutch Shell added 9% with its one-month gain standing at 40.4%. Miner Antofagasta and Rolls-Royce were among the other big winners of the week, with gains of 9% and 8.3% respectively. At the other end of the spectrum, credit checking firm Experian suffered a tough week after delivering its half-year earnings, with its share price down 11.1%.
In the FTSE 250, Cineworld, travel firm Tui, cruise company Carnival, and easyJet all delivered significant gains. Cineworld added 27.4%, taking its one-month gain past the 100% mark (although it remains more than 70% in the red for 2020), following news that it has secured a financing lifeline.
FTSE 100: +0.1% Friday, -15.6% YTD (+0.3% last week)
FTSE 250: +0.3% Friday, -11.1% YTD (-0.2% last week)
Zoom Video Communications: Investors in video communications company Zoom have been handsomely rewarded this year, with its year-to-date share price gain close to the 600% mark, as mass working from home has led to huge demand for virtual meeting tools. The company delivers its latest set of quarterly earnings on Monday, where there will be several key points of focus. First, investors will be watching for what has happened to new user rates as the pandemic has continued, but perhaps more important will be the company’s success at converting free users to paying subscribers. After its rapid share price gains, Wall Street analysts are split between buy and hold ratings on the stock.
UK house prices: Building society Nationwide will deliver November house price data tomorrow. For October, Nationwide reported that house prices had increased by 5.8% year-over-year in the UK, and 0.8% versus the prior month. According to Trading Economics, the consensus forecast for November is a 5.5% year-over-year gain and a 0.3% gain versus October.
Online Black Friday sales surge
With many consumers choosing to (or being forced to) shop from home, online Black Friday sales are set to hit a record high this year. According to data from Adobe Analytics, the total is on pace to come in at between $8.9bn and $9.6bn, an increase of more than 20% versus last year. Per the data, 42% of sales came in from smartphones, with retailers offering curbside pickup and faster delivery methods enjoying the biggest sales boost. For retailers still reliant on bricks and mortar operations, the news was less positive. The WSJ reported that firms who track foot traffic estimated that roughly half as many people visited stores on Black Friday versus last year.
Crypto corner: Bitcoin surge ‘caused by PayPal’ says Pantera
Bitcoin came close to an all-time high last week, and crypto investment firm Pantera Capital says PayPal is to thank.
In a report published on Medium, Pantera cites the entry of PayPal to the market has caused demand for the world’s largest cryptoasset to surge. The report’s author claims: “When PayPal went live, volume started exploding. The increase in itBit volume implies that within four weeks of going live, PayPal is already buying almost 70% of the new supply of bitcoins.
“Three hundred million people just got instant access to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies.”
PayPal launched cryptoasset services in the US earlier in November, with users able to trade up to $20,000-worth of the cryptoasset per transaction.
BTC has rebounded to trade around $18,643 this morning, after a sell-off knocked the cryptoasset down to nearly $16,000 following a fresh all-time high of $19,500 last week.
All data, figures & charts are valid as of 30/11/2020. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.
This is a marketing communication and should not be taken as investment advice, personal recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments. This material has been prepared without having regard to any particular investment objectives or financial situation, and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal and regulatory requirements to promote independent research. Any references to past performance of a financial instrument, index or a packaged investment product are not, and should not be taken as, a reliable indicator of future results. eToro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication, which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Experienced writer and journalist, working in the global online trading sector, Steffy is the Editor of LeapRate. She has previous experience as a copywriter and has been with the company since January 2020. Steffy has a British and American Studies degree from St. Kliment Ochridski University in Sofia.