Technical analysis: GBP/USD bulls remain on the offensive

This article was submitted by Aaron Hill from FP Markets.


Against the US dollar, sterling is on a tear. WTD, GBP/USD is 2.0% in the green and clocking highs of $1.3114, levels not seen since April last year.

Despite economists projecting a more pronounced fall in real GDP in May (2023), economic output contracted by -0.1%, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This follows 0.2% growth in April (2023).

This, alongside slower-than-expected US wholesale inflation data, provided the pound with some fresh legs today.

Higher Timeframes Show Room to Continue Pushing North

The weekly chart paints an impressive picture. After retesting a recently breached resistance at $1.2767, bulls went on the offensive and ran through offers at resistance from $1.3042. Neighbouring resistance at $1.3199 now calls for attention, which, technically speaking, offers a little more substance (historical significance). Ultimately, though, the weekly chart reveals that GBP bulls have room to manoeuvre for now.

Against the backdrop of the weekly chart, price action on the daily timeframe made short work of resistance at $1.3001 and is now closing in on another layer of resistance located just south of weekly resistance at $1.3197 (this type of resistance is referred to as a Quasimodo resistance). Interestingly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is considerably overbought at this point on the daily scale, challenging highs not seen since August 2020 (78.40).

European stock market experiences positive change

Short-Term Price Action Edging North of $1.31

As evident from the H1 timeframe, buyers and sellers are squaring off around the $1.31 level, following the (almost) one-sided push north after retesting the widely watched $1.30 psychological base in early London. Overhead resistance is at $1.3154, while support can be seen at $1.3055, together with a nearby trendline support taken from the low of $1.2750. From the H1 chart, we can also see that the RSI is exploring overbought space, though, as of yet, there are no signs of negative divergence.

GBP/USD Bulls Remain on the Offensive, FP MarketsCharts: TradingView

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