The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) said that during Q1 2024, US GDP grew by 1.6% according to the ‘advance’ estimate. The BEA stated: In the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP increased 3.4 percent. The increase in the first quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending and housing investment that were partly offset…
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According to a Reuters report, spot gold was down by 1.3%, reaching $2,027.26 per ounce, following three consecutive sessions of gains at 2:36 p.m. E.T. (19:36 GMT). U.S. gold futures also settled more than 1% lower at $2,030.2. A senior analyst at Kitco Metals, Jim Wyckoff, commented: Strong gains in the U.S. dollar index are…
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Hiring was unchanged at around 5.9m (3.7%); total separations, which, according to the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS), include quits, layoffs, discharges and other separations, was also little changed at 5.7m (3.6%). The quit rate came in at 3.6m and was almost the same as the previous month at 2.3%. The BLS noted that the…
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The Bank of England (BoE) governor, Andrew Bailey, is due to appear in front of the Treasury Committee to address claims by a think-tank that his economic outlook for 2023 is failing. The Resolution Foundation, an independent British think-tank that aims to bolster low-middle-class income households in the UK, suggested that continued tax hikes for…
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Friday marked a seven-week consecutive rise for the dollar index in comparison with its figures of 99.58 from the same period year-over-year. Industry experts suggest that this favourable standing is set to last, at least for the short-term. Friday also brought about data showing the slowdown of U.S. employment and wage growth which was greater…
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Technical View: Markets to Watch for the Week Ahead Currencies: US Dollar Testing Monthly Support It has been quite a week for the US dollar. Consistent with the US Dollar Index—a geometrically-weighted average of the dollar’s value against a basket of six major currencies, including Europe’s single currency—the greenback plunged -2.3% last week, marking its…
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Short-Term Price Action Edging North of $1.31 As evident from the H1 timeframe, buyers and sellers are squaring off around the $1.31 level, following the (almost) one-sided push north after retesting the widely watched $1.30 psychological base in early London. Overhead resistance is at $1.3154, while support can be seen at $1.3055, together with a…
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Price Action Closing in on Daily Demand Across the page on the daily chart, you might recall that I noted the possibility of a sell-off emerging from channel resistance extended from the high of $214.00, which was accompanied by negative divergence from the RSI. You may also recall that recent writing pointed to the possibility…
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Technical View: Markets to Watch for the Week Ahead Currencies: US Dollar Eyeing the 101.92 Low With Friday’s one-sided decline, it was a disappointing week for the Dollar Index, down -0.6%. Trend studies on the monthly timeframe show price action has been northbound since bottoming in 2008 at 70.70. Q4 (2022), as you can see,…
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If the yield differential declines to 60-basis points you will be paying away less and therefore there is less incentive to hold the US dollar. During June the yield differential between the US 10-year yield and the German 10-year yield declined to 101 basis points from 117 basis points making it less attractive to hold…
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